Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.067847 0.076437 0.085244 0.094918 0.105216 0.115824 0.127549
2025-06-08 0.050955 0.063340 0.076738 0.092164 0.109298 0.127621 0.148574
2025-06-15 0.042534 0.057327 0.074025 0.093939 0.116733 0.141735 0.170966
2025-06-22 0.035890 0.052148 0.071217 0.094655 0.122156 0.152937 0.189543
2025-06-29 0.032731 0.050568 0.072136 0.099263 0.131683 0.168497 0.212811
2025-07-06 0.028222 0.046715 0.069838 0.099634 0.135918 0.177726 0.228650
2025-07-13 0.027630 0.047793 0.073535 0.107198 0.148648 0.196814 0.255882
2025-07-20 0.022971 0.042897 0.069257 0.104572 0.148840 0.200974 0.265589
2025-07-27 0.021496 0.042259 0.070373 0.108619 0.157095 0.214650 0.286439
2025-08-03 0.019072 0.039984 0.069113 0.109471 0.161286 0.223383 0.301401
2025-08-10 0.016944 0.037914 0.067958 0.110318 0.165366 0.231912 0.316076
2025-08-17 0.014799 0.035573 0.066247 0.110286 0.168226 0.238878 0.328826
2025-08-24 0.011646 0.031351 0.061816 0.106734 0.166879 0.241124 0.336511
2025-08-31 0.009132 0.027833 0.058176 0.104119 0.166696 0.244843 0.346107
2025-09-07 0.007976 0.026610 0.057880 0.106075 0.172457 0.255977 0.364795
2025-09-14 0.006734 0.024992 0.056823 0.106851 0.176588 0.265025 0.380910
2025-09-21 0.006402 0.025205 0.058670 0.111802 0.186323 0.281209 0.405905
2025-09-28 0.005333 0.023610 0.057447 0.112200 0.189866 0.289483 0.421080
2025-10-05 0.005593 0.025115 0.061425 0.120310 0.203945 0.311307 0.453220
2025-10-12 0.004214 0.022415 0.058132 0.117496 0.203022 0.313813 0.461202
2025-10-19 0.003959 0.022495 0.059605 0.121831 0.211935 0.329028 0.485148
2025-10-26 0.003314 0.021363 0.058860 0.122743 0.216079 0.338055 0.501323
2025-11-02 0.002751 0.020299 0.058148 0.123649 0.220183 0.347015 0.517416